B. Dortmund vs Stuttgart analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.3%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
23.2%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
1º
11º
6º
35
4º
18º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
54 | 86 |
1º
|
97% | |
|
2º
|
46 | 75 |
2º
|
94% | |
|
3º
|
39 | 60 |
3º
|
35% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 60 |
4º
|
26.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
35 | 58 |
5º
|
22.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
29 | 55 |
6º
|
24% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 51 |
7º
|
16.5% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 49 |
8º
|
16% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 48 |
9º
|
18.5% | |
|
7º
|
32 | 47 |
10º
|
21.5% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 45 |
11º
|
26.5% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 39 |
12º
|
36.5% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 36 |
13º
|
30.5% | |
|
14º
|
21 | 33 |
14º
|
30% | |
|
15º
|
18 | 33 |
15º
|
27% | |
|
16º
|
14 | 26 |
16º
|
34% | |
|
17º
|
12 | 24 |
17º
|
34.5% | |
|
18º
|
10 | 22 |
18º
|
51% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League
|
13% | 37% |
|
Europa League
|
22.5% | 22.5% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
24% | 23% |
|
Mid-table
|
40.5% | 17.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
B. Dortmund
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
HEI
1 - 2
BVB
13%
18%
69%
|
96 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2025 |
BVB
3 - 1
SHA
83%
12%
6%
|
96 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
BVB
2 - 2
BRE
72%
17%
12%
|
96 | 89 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2025 |
BOL
2 - 1
BVB
29%
23%
49%
|
96 | 94 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2025 |
EIN
2 - 0
BVB
25%
23%
52%
|
97 | 93 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Stuttgart
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2025 |
STU
1 - 0
AUG
72%
17%
11%
|
94 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
STU
1 - 2
MON
58%
21%
21%
|
94 | 91 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2025 |
STU
1 - 4
PSG
29%
22%
50%
|
94 | 96 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
M05
2 - 0
STU
22%
23%
55%
|
95 | 91 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2025 |
SBR
1 - 3
STU
10%
17%
73%
|
94 | 79 | 15 | +1 |