B. Dortmund vs Sporting CP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.9%
Win probability
2.71
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.3%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.7%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.8%
8.3%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
B. Dortmund
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
HEI
1 - 2
BVB
13%
18%
69%
|
96 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2025 |
BVB
3 - 1
SHA
83%
12%
6%
|
96 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
BVB
2 - 2
BRE
72%
17%
12%
|
96 | 89 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2025 |
BOL
2 - 1
BVB
29%
23%
49%
|
96 | 94 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2025 |
EIN
2 - 0
BVB
25%
23%
52%
|
97 | 93 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
SCP
3 - 1
FAR
73%
17%
10%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2025 |
SCP
1 - 0
DTB
77%
14%
8%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2025 |
SCP
1 - 1
BOL
27%
24%
49%
|
88 | 94 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
SCP
2 - 0
NAC
75%
16%
10%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2025 |
RBL
2 - 1
SCP
76%
15%
9%
|
89 | 97 | 8 | -1 |