B. Dortmund vs Sportfreunde Saarbrücken analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.4%
Win probability
3.8
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.6%
8-0
1%
9-1
0.4%
10-2
0.1%
+8
1.4%
7-0
2.1%
8-1
0.9%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
3.1%
6-0
3.8%
7-1
1.8%
8-2
0.4%
9-3
<0%
+6
6.1%
5-0
6.1%
6-1
3.4%
7-2
0.8%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
10.4%
4-0
8%
5-1
5.4%
6-2
1.5%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
15.2%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
7.1%
5-2
2.4%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
18.4%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
13.9%
7.9%
Draw
0-0
0.9%
1-1
3.1%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
7.9%
4.5%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
0.8%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
3.2%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
B. Dortmund
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 1963 |
WUP
1 - 0
BVB
32%
24%
44%
|
53 | 38 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1963 |
BVB
4 - 1
F95
84%
10%
6%
|
53 | 41 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1963 |
BVB
1 - 0
S04
72%
15%
13%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 1963 |
BVB
0 - 1
MSV
84%
10%
6%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 1963 |
BVB
3 - 1
PRE
77%
13%
10%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Sportfreunde Saarbrücken
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 1963 |
M05
0 - 2
SSF
60%
20%
20%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1963 |
SSF
0 - 2
SAA
46%
22%
32%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 May. 1963 |
TUL
3 - 2
SSF
56%
20%
24%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 1963 |
LSC
3 - 1
SSF
52%
21%
27%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 1963 |
SSF
3 - 1
PIR
31%
23%
46%
|
38 | 53 | 15 | +1 |