UEFA Intertoto Cup Quarter-finals
Global 1-1
B. Dortmund vs Sigma Olomouc analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.4%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
15.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.5%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.9%
15.7%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
B. Dortmund
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2005 |
BVB
2 - 1
ROS
61%
22%
17%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2005 |
S04
1 - 2
BVB
52%
24%
24%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2005 |
BVB
1 - 0
BRE
31%
25%
44%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2005 |
SCF
2 - 2
BVB
30%
26%
44%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2005 |
BVB
4 - 2
KAI
52%
24%
24%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Sigma Olomouc
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2005 |
POG
0 - 0
SIG
40%
26%
34%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2005 |
SIG
1 - 0
POG
67%
20%
13%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2005 |
SIG
4 - 1
DRN
62%
23%
15%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2005 |
ESK
1 - 2
SIG
38%
27%
34%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2005 |
OPA
1 - 2
SIG
35%
28%
37%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |