B. Dortmund vs Schalke 04 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.8%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
27.4%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
B. Dortmund
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2003 |
BVB
1 - 1
KAI
57%
22%
21%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2003 |
MON
2 - 1
BVB
32%
27%
41%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2003 |
BVB
1 - 1
HER
57%
23%
20%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2003 |
ROS
2 - 1
BVB
26%
27%
47%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2003 |
SOC
4 - 0
BVB
45%
26%
29%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Schalke 04
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2003 |
S04
1 - 1
WOL
47%
26%
28%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2003 |
KAI
0 - 2
S04
34%
26%
40%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2003 |
S04
2 - 1
MON
52%
25%
23%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2003 |
HER
1 - 3
S04
45%
25%
30%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2003 |
BIF
2 - 1
S04
45%
26%
30%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |