B. Dortmund vs Schalke 04 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.5%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
16%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
B. Dortmund
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 1987 |
CEL
2 - 1
BVB
64%
19%
18%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1987 |
BRE
4 - 0
BVB
70%
17%
13%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1987 |
BVB
1 - 2
KOL
52%
23%
25%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1987 |
EIN
0 - 0
BVB
35%
26%
39%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1987 |
OFF
3 - 3
BVB
14%
17%
69%
|
78 | 16 | 62 | 0 |
Matches
Schalke 04
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 1987 |
S04
2 - 2
LEV
53%
23%
24%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1987 |
STU
4 - 0
S04
65%
19%
16%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 1987 |
S04
2 - 1
KFC
50%
23%
26%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1987 |
EIN
3 - 2
S04
49%
23%
29%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1987 |
RTV
1 - 3
S04
55%
23%
22%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | +1 |