B. Dortmund vs Rot-Weiß Oberhausen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.7%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.8%
11.5%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
B. Dortmund
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 1971 |
BVB
0 - 2
KAI
56%
23%
21%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1971 |
ARB
2 - 3
BVB
26%
27%
47%
|
79 | 61 | 18 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 1970 |
WES
0 - 4
BVB
19%
18%
64%
|
79 | 8 | 71 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1970 |
HAN
4 - 1
BVB
42%
24%
34%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 1970 |
BVB
1 - 1
HSV
52%
23%
25%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Rot-Weiß Oberhausen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 1971 |
STU
2 - 1
ROT
67%
19%
15%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1971 |
ROT
0 - 2
MSV
50%
24%
25%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 1970 |
ROT
4 - 3
ROT
60%
19%
21%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 1970 |
ROT
1 - 0
EBT
46%
26%
28%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 1970 |
BRE
2 - 0
ROT
67%
20%
13%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | -1 |