B. Dortmund vs Real Madrid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.9%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.6%
1-0
5%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.3%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
51%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
15.5%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
B. Dortmund
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2024 |
BVB
4 - 0
DAR
83%
12%
5%
|
96 | 79 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
M05
3 - 0
BVB
11%
18%
71%
|
96 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2024 |
PSG
0 - 1
BVB
25%
22%
54%
|
96 | 91 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
BVB
5 - 1
AUG
79%
14%
7%
|
96 | 83 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
BVB
1 - 0
PSG
62%
19%
19%
|
96 | 91 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2024 |
RMA
0 - 0
BET
78%
15%
7%
|
99 | 89 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
VIL
4 - 4
RMA
16%
20%
64%
|
99 | 90 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2024 |
RMA
5 - 0
ALA
85%
12%
4%
|
99 | 84 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
GRA
0 - 4
RMA
8%
16%
76%
|
100 | 81 | 19 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2024 |
RMA
2 - 1
BYM
42%
22%
36%
|
100 | 99 | 1 | 0 |