Q. Europa League 4a Ronda Final
Global 5-0
B. Dortmund vs Qarabağ analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.7%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.3%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.4%
10.9%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
B. Dortmund
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2010 |
WAC
0 - 3
BVB
8%
17%
75%
|
86 | 53 | 33 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2010 |
ARB
0 - 2
BVB
20%
23%
57%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2010 |
BVB
3 - 1
MAC
36%
27%
37%
|
86 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2010 |
BVB
1 - 1
BUR
53%
25%
21%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2010 |
SCF
3 - 1
BVB
23%
24%
54%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Qarabağ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2010 |
QAR
0 - 2
FKN
53%
27%
21%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2010 |
KHA
1 - 0
QAR
45%
28%
28%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2010 |
QAR
3 - 2
WIS
34%
26%
40%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2010 |
WIS
0 - 1
QAR
65%
21%
15%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Jul. 2010 |
QAR
1 - 1
POR
50%
24%
26%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |