B. Dortmund vs Paderborn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.1%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.4%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.4%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.5%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
7%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
14.8%
7.1%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
B. Dortmund
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
BVB
5 - 1
AUG
71%
18%
11%
|
90 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2015 |
FKQ
1 - 3
BVB
10%
17%
73%
|
90 | 72 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2015 |
M05
0 - 2
BVB
17%
21%
62%
|
90 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
BYM
5 - 1
BVB
62%
20%
18%
|
91 | 95 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2015 |
PAO
1 - 1
BVB
11%
17%
72%
|
92 | 78 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Paderborn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
FCU
0 - 2
PAD
40%
26%
34%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2015 |
PAD
2 - 0
EBT
43%
27%
30%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2015 |
VER
2 - 2
PAD
9%
17%
75%
|
70 | 47 | 23 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2015 |
MSV
1 - 0
PAD
28%
26%
46%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
PAD
0 - 0
STP
48%
26%
27%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | -1 |