B. Dortmund vs Newcastle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.4%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.4%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
40.2%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
B. Dortmund
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
BVB
0 - 4
BYM
19%
19%
62%
|
92 | 97 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2023 |
BVB
1 - 0
HOF
74%
15%
11%
|
92 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
EIN
3 - 3
BVB
20%
21%
59%
|
92 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2023 |
NEW
0 - 1
BVB
40%
24%
36%
|
92 | 93 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2023 |
BVB
1 - 0
BRE
78%
14%
8%
|
92 | 79 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
NEW
1 - 0
ARS
30%
25%
45%
|
94 | 97 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2023 |
MUD
0 - 3
NEW
53%
23%
24%
|
93 | 96 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
WOL
2 - 2
NEW
22%
25%
54%
|
93 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2023 |
NEW
0 - 1
BVB
40%
24%
36%
|
93 | 92 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
NEW
4 - 0
CRY
61%
22%
16%
|
93 | 88 | 5 | 0 |