B. Dortmund vs MSV Duisburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.3%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
20.5%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
B. Dortmund
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2007 |
MAG
1 - 4
BVB
14%
23%
63%
|
83 | 56 | 27 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2007 |
LEV
2 - 1
BVB
55%
23%
22%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2007 |
BVB
2 - 0
S04
30%
27%
43%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2007 |
WOL
0 - 2
BVB
40%
27%
34%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2007 |
BVB
2 - 0
EIN
45%
26%
29%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
MSV Duisburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2007 |
BAB
0 - 4
MSV
15%
20%
66%
|
74 | 46 | 28 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2007 |
MSV
3 - 0
ROT
63%
22%
15%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2007 |
PAD
0 - 3
MSV
34%
27%
39%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2007 |
MSV
1 - 3
KOL
50%
24%
25%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2007 |
CZJ
3 - 3
MSV
30%
26%
43%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | -1 |