B. Dortmund vs MSV Duisburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.6%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.8%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.1%
13.4%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
B. Dortmund
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 1981 |
HSV
2 - 2
BVB
77%
14%
9%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 1981 |
BVB
0 - 2
EIN
53%
22%
25%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 1981 |
KOL
1 - 0
BVB
64%
19%
17%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Jun. 1981 |
BVB
0 - 3
MON
54%
21%
25%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Jun. 1981 |
EIN
0 - 4
BVB
67%
18%
15%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
MSV Duisburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 1981 |
MSV
3 - 1
KAI
30%
26%
44%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 1981 |
EBT
2 - 1
MSV
55%
24%
22%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 1981 |
MSV
1 - 1
KSC
48%
24%
28%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 1981 |
STU
2 - 0
MSV
80%
13%
8%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | -1 |
| 06 Jun. 1981 |
MSV
2 - 4
LEV
54%
24%
22%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |