B. Dortmund vs MSV Duisburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.6%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
21%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
19%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
B. Dortmund
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 1968 |
EIN
1 - 1
BVB
57%
21%
21%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1968 |
BVB
2 - 2
HER
55%
21%
25%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1968 |
BVB
2 - 3
KAI
64%
19%
17%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 1968 |
S04
4 - 1
BVB
33%
26%
41%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1968 |
BVB
3 - 1
HSV
60%
21%
20%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
MSV Duisburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 1968 |
MSV
2 - 0
BRE
51%
24%
25%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1968 |
BYM
2 - 2
MSV
68%
19%
14%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1968 |
MSV
2 - 0
STU
55%
23%
22%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1968 |
EBT
0 - 0
MSV
48%
26%
27%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1968 |
AAA
4 - 0
MSV
47%
23%
29%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |