Europa League 1/16
Global 2-1
B. Dortmund vs Maribor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82%
Win probability
2.93
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.1%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.6%
4-0
8%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
18%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19%
11.7%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.7%
6.3%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
B. Dortmund
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 1993 |
BVB
3 - 0
MON
60%
21%
19%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1993 |
KOL
2 - 0
BVB
41%
26%
33%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 1993 |
MAR
0 - 0
BVB
31%
24%
45%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1993 |
BVB
2 - 1
HSV
58%
22%
20%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 1993 |
BRE
4 - 0
BVB
56%
23%
21%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Maribor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 1993 |
MAR
4 - 2
GOR
58%
24%
18%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1993 |
CEL
2 - 2
MAR
58%
25%
18%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1993 |
MAR
0 - 0
BVB
31%
24%
45%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1993 |
MAR
0 - 0
NKM
54%
24%
21%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1993 |
NSV
2 - 1
MAR
47%
27%
26%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |