Inter-Cities Fairs Cup 1/16
Global 1-10
B. Dortmund vs Manchester United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.7%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.3%
24%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
B. Dortmund
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 1964 |
KSC
2 - 0
BVB
42%
23%
35%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1964 |
BVB
1 - 3
EIN
58%
20%
23%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1964 |
EBT
0 - 1
BVB
29%
25%
46%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1964 |
BVB
3 - 2
KAI
72%
15%
13%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1964 |
GIR
2 - 0
BVB
46%
22%
32%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 1964 |
MUD
1 - 0
SHW
63%
19%
18%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1964 |
LIV
0 - 2
MUD
49%
22%
29%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1964 |
MUD
6 - 1
DJU
73%
15%
12%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 1964 |
MUD
7 - 0
ASV
77%
14%
9%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1964 |
WOL
2 - 4
MUD
37%
23%
40%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |