B. Dortmund vs Mainz 05 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.1%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
20.3%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
B. Dortmund
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2006 |
BYM
2 - 0
BVB
70%
18%
12%
|
85 | 92 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2006 |
BYM
3 - 3
BVB
72%
17%
10%
|
85 | 92 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2006 |
BVB
1 - 1
EIN
53%
24%
22%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2006 |
HAN
1 - 2
BVB
40%
26%
34%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2006 |
BVB
2 - 1
FCN
52%
24%
24%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Mainz 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2006 |
M05
2 - 1
RTV
46%
24%
29%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2006 |
MSV
0 - 0
M05
38%
27%
35%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2006 |
M05
1 - 0
S04
29%
27%
44%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2006 |
WOL
0 - 3
M05
51%
25%
24%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2006 |
M05
2 - 2
BYM
15%
22%
63%
|
78 | 93 | 15 | +1 |