B. Dortmund vs Karlsruher SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.3%
Win probability
2.92
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.7%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.9%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.9%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.8%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.4%
13.1%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.1%
8.6%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
B. Dortmund
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 1966 |
HAN
2 - 0
BVB
33%
25%
42%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1966 |
BVB
1 - 2
F95
83%
11%
6%
|
87 | 66 | 21 | -1 |
| 28 May. 1966 |
EIN
4 - 1
BVB
43%
24%
33%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1966 |
BVB
0 - 2
MUN
61%
19%
20%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1966 |
BRE
1 - 0
BVB
47%
23%
30%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Karlsruher SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 1966 |
KSC
1 - 1
HSV
28%
23%
49%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1966 |
KAI
3 - 1
KSC
54%
24%
22%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1966 |
NEU
1 - 0
KSC
49%
24%
27%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 May. 1966 |
KSC
1 - 4
EBT
47%
24%
29%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1966 |
EIN
1 - 0
KSC
69%
18%
13%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | -1 |