B. Dortmund vs FC 08 Homburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.6%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.1%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
19.5%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
B. Dortmund
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 1988 |
BVB
0 - 4
KOL
42%
26%
32%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1988 |
STP
1 - 0
BVB
43%
26%
31%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 1988 |
BYM
1 - 1
BVB
83%
12%
6%
|
79 | 89 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1988 |
BVB
1 - 1
SVS
57%
22%
21%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1988 |
BVB
4 - 0
HAN
64%
19%
17%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
FC 08 Homburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 1988 |
OSN
0 - 0
HOM
41%
26%
33%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1988 |
HOM
1 - 1
SCF
60%
22%
18%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1988 |
HOM
2 - 0
M05
66%
19%
16%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1988 |
DAR
1 - 2
HOM
49%
25%
27%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 1988 |
HOM
1 - 0
OFC
62%
20%
18%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |