B. Dortmund vs Hertha BSC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
6%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.4%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
35.6%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
B. Dortmund
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 1976 |
MSV
0 - 0
BVB
60%
21%
19%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1976 |
BVB
0 - 0
MON
22%
23%
55%
|
74 | 90 | 16 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 1976 |
KSC
2 - 1
BVB
51%
24%
25%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 1976 |
BVB
2 - 1
SAA
61%
21%
18%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 1976 |
HSV
3 - 4
BVB
72%
17%
11%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Hertha BSC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 1976 |
HER
2 - 0
RTV
62%
21%
17%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1976 |
HER
1 - 1
BYM
34%
24%
42%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1976 |
MSV
1 - 1
HER
49%
23%
28%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1976 |
HER
0 - 1
MON
29%
24%
47%
|
82 | 90 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 1976 |
KSC
0 - 3
HER
38%
25%
37%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |