B. Dortmund vs Hamburger SV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.9%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
4%
2-1
8%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.3%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
3.2%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.4%
32.7%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
3%
1-3
4%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
B. Dortmund
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 1965 |
MSV
3 - 2
BVB
37%
25%
38%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1965 |
BVB
5 - 1
KSC
78%
13%
9%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 1965 |
EIN
0 - 2
BVB
59%
20%
21%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1965 |
BVB
5 - 4
EBT
76%
14%
10%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1965 |
EBT
0 - 2
BVB
38%
24%
38%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Hamburger SV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 1965 |
HSV
2 - 1
FCN
51%
21%
28%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1965 |
HSV
0 - 1
EBT
77%
13%
9%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1965 |
KAI
2 - 1
HSV
23%
21%
57%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1965 |
HSV
2 - 1
KSC
78%
13%
9%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1965 |
EIN
2 - 1
HSV
41%
22%
38%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |