B. Dortmund vs Fortuna Köln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.8%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
24.3%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
B. Dortmund
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 1975 |
HAN
0 - 0
BVB
69%
18%
13%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1975 |
BVB
1 - 1
ARB
70%
19%
11%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 1974 |
SWE
1 - 1
BVB
33%
26%
41%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1974 |
BVB
2 - 0
WAB
59%
22%
19%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 1974 |
KFC
2 - 0
BVB
53%
23%
24%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 1975 |
KÖL
5 - 2
AAA
75%
16%
9%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1975 |
BAR
0 - 3
KÖL
25%
27%
49%
|
67 | 51 | 16 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 1975 |
KÖL
0 - 2
ARB
77%
15%
8%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 1974 |
OSN
0 - 2
KÖL
58%
22%
20%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1974 |
KÖL
2 - 0
ISC
78%
15%
7%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | +1 |