Cup Winners Cup 1/16
Global 13-1
B. Dortmund vs Floriana FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.2%
Win probability
3.65
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.5%
8-0
0.9%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.2%
7-0
2%
8-1
0.7%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
2.8%
6-0
3.8%
7-1
1.6%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.7%
5-0
6.2%
6-1
3.1%
7-2
0.7%
8-3
0.1%
+5
10%
4-0
8.5%
5-1
5.1%
6-2
1.3%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
15%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
6.9%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.7%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.4%
8.2%
Draw
0-0
1.1%
1-1
3.4%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
8.2%
4.5%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
0.9%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
3.2%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
B. Dortmund
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 1965 |
BVB
2 - 2
HSV
53%
20%
27%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1965 |
FLO
1 - 5
BVB
25%
22%
53%
|
85 | 61 | 24 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1965 |
S04
2 - 3
BVB
33%
24%
44%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1965 |
MON
4 - 5
BVB
21%
22%
58%
|
85 | 64 | 21 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1965 |
BVB
4 - 1
KSC
78%
13%
9%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Floriana FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 1965 |
FLO
1 - 5
BVB
25%
22%
53%
|
61 | 85 | 24 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1962 |
IPS
10 - 0
FLO
82%
11%
7%
|
62 | 81 | 19 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 1962 |
FLO
1 - 4
IPS
36%
23%
41%
|
63 | 81 | 18 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 1961 |
UJP
10 - 2
FLO
68%
16%
16%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 1961 |
FLO
2 - 5
UJP
37%
21%
42%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | -1 |