Europa League 1/16
Global 4-0
B. Dortmund vs FC Universitatea Craiova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.1%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.6%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.1%
12.7%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
B. Dortmund
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 1990 |
BVB
3 - 1
HER
70%
18%
12%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1990 |
FCU
0 - 3
BVB
50%
22%
28%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1990 |
WAT
1 - 1
BVB
41%
27%
33%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1990 |
EIN
3 - 1
BVB
44%
26%
30%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1990 |
BVB
1 - 1
HSV
57%
23%
20%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
FC Universitatea Craiova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 1990 |
FCU
3 - 0
TIM
55%
23%
21%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1990 |
FCM
1 - 0
FCU
42%
29%
30%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 1990 |
FCU
0 - 3
BVB
50%
22%
28%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1990 |
FCU
1 - 0
DBU
57%
23%
21%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1990 |
RAP
1 - 4
FCU
39%
29%
32%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |