B. Dortmund vs Nürnberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.5%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
20%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20%
26.5%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
6%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
B. Dortmund
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 1976 |
FCN
0 - 1
BVB
55%
20%
25%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 1976 |
BVB
3 - 0
SWE
67%
19%
14%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 1976 |
LEV
0 - 2
BVB
22%
25%
53%
|
72 | 52 | 20 | 0 |
| 29 May. 1976 |
BVB
6 - 2
STP
58%
21%
21%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 May. 1976 |
PRE
4 - 1
BVB
51%
25%
25%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Nürnberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 1976 |
FCN
0 - 1
BVB
55%
20%
25%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 1976 |
FCN
0 - 0
SAA
58%
22%
20%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 1976 |
STU
0 - 1
FCN
53%
24%
24%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1976 |
BAY
1 - 1
FCN
53%
23%
24%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1976 |
FCN
4 - 0
EBK
89%
9%
2%
|
74 | 48 | 26 | 0 |