B. Dortmund vs Nürnberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.2%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
8%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.4%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.1%
13.7%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
B. Dortmund
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 1967 |
ROT
1 - 1
BVB
25%
25%
50%
|
86 | 67 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1967 |
BVB
3 - 2
MON
76%
15%
9%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1967 |
BVB
3 - 1
EIN
60%
20%
20%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1967 |
KSC
2 - 0
BVB
33%
26%
41%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1967 |
KOL
1 - 0
BVB
59%
20%
21%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Nürnberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 1967 |
FCN
1 - 0
HSV
43%
24%
33%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1967 |
KAI
1 - 1
FCN
42%
26%
33%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1967 |
FCN
0 - 4
S04
63%
20%
17%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1967 |
MSV
2 - 0
FCN
49%
25%
26%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 1967 |
FCN
3 - 3
STU
65%
20%
15%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |