Champions League 1/16
Global 7-3
B. Dortmund vs Lyn 1896 FK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.1%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
4%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
5.3%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.3%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
3.2%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.4%
32.5%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
16%
0-2
3%
1-3
4%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
B. Dortmund
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 1963 |
KSC
1 - 3
BVB
53%
23%
24%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1963 |
BVB
2 - 1
SAA
82%
11%
7%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 1963 |
LYN
2 - 4
BVB
83%
10%
7%
|
56 | 77 | 21 | +3 |
| 07 Sep. 1963 |
S04
3 - 1
BVB
57%
22%
20%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1963 |
BVB
3 - 3
MUN
60%
20%
19%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Lyn 1896 FK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 1963 |
FFK
4 - 0
LYN
57%
20%
24%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1963 |
LYN
2 - 4
BVB
83%
10%
7%
|
77 | 56 | 21 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 1963 |
LYN
1 - 3
BBS
52%
21%
28%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 1963 |
LYN
5 - 0
VIF
59%
20%
21%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 1963 |
STE
1 - 2
LYN
41%
21%
39%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |