B. Dortmund vs FC Carl Zeiss Jena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.8%
Win probability
3.14
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.7%
6-0
2.9%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.9%
5-0
5.5%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.9%
4-0
8.8%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.4%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.8%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.4%
10.1%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.1%
5.1%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.8%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
B. Dortmund
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 1993 |
BVB
3 - 2
SCF
72%
17%
11%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 1993 |
S04
1 - 0
BVB
36%
27%
38%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 1993 |
BVB
2 - 1
KSC
60%
21%
19%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 1993 |
SVL
1 - 4
BVB
1%
11%
88%
|
84 | 8 | 76 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 1993 |
KSC
3 - 0
BVB
41%
26%
33%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
FC Carl Zeiss Jena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 1993 |
CZJ
2 - 0
WOL
47%
25%
28%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 1993 |
HAN
1 - 0
CZJ
47%
27%
26%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 1993 |
CZJ
2 - 2
WAL
48%
27%
26%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 1993 |
M05
2 - 0
CZJ
47%
27%
27%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 1993 |
CZJ
1 - 1
HER
45%
26%
29%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |