B. Dortmund vs SpVgg Erkenschwick analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
89.2%
Win probability
2.73
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1.3%
6-0
3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.3%
5-0
6.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
<0%
+5
7.3%
4-0
12%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
13.6%
3-0
17.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.2%
+3
20.5%
2-0
19.2%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.7%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
19.1%
9%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
3.3%
2-2
0.5%
3-3
<0%
0
9%
1.8%
Win probability
0.23
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
0.4%
2-3
0%
-1
1.6%
0-2
0.1%
1-3
0%
-2
0.2%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
B. Dortmund
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 1976 |
KÖL
3 - 1
BVB
57%
23%
20%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1976 |
BVB
2 - 1
DJK
84%
12%
4%
|
72 | 55 | 17 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 1976 |
WAT
2 - 1
BVB
47%
26%
27%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1976 |
BVB
3 - 0
ISC
72%
18%
11%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1976 |
BVB
3 - 0
AAA
72%
17%
11%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
SpVgg Erkenschwick
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 1976 |
ERK
2 - 3
WAT
25%
25%
50%
|
51 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1976 |
FCM
1 - 1
ERK
63%
22%
14%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 1976 |
ERK
0 - 1
WUP
28%
27%
45%
|
51 | 67 | 16 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 1976 |
TEN
1 - 0
ERK
87%
10%
3%
|
51 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1976 |
ERK
2 - 2
WAB
43%
25%
32%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |