B. Dortmund vs Eintracht Frankfurt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.5%
15.4%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
7
1º
4º
4º
6
4º
16º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
9 | 85 |
1º
|
77.5% | |
|
5º
|
6 | 74 |
2º
|
33.5% | |
|
3º
|
7 | 73 |
3º
|
29.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
7 | 72 |
4º
|
31% | |
|
9º
|
4 | 58 |
5º
|
35% | |
|
|
6º
|
6 | 52 |
6º
|
17.5% | |
|
7º
|
6 | 51 |
7º
|
18% | |
|
12º
|
3 | 43 |
8º
|
12.5% | |
|
13º
|
3 | 43 |
9º
|
12% | |
|
4º
|
6 | 40 |
10º
|
13.5% | |
|
11º
|
3 | 40 |
11º
|
13% | |
|
8º
|
5 | 39 |
12º
|
13% | |
|
14º
|
2 | 38 |
13º
|
15% | |
|
15º
|
2 | 36 |
14º
|
9.5% | |
|
10º
|
4 | 31 |
15º
|
15.5% | |
|
17º
|
0 | 28 |
16º
|
10% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 27 |
17º
|
16.5% | |
|
18º
|
0 | 25 |
18º
|
27.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
7.5% | 0% |
|
Champions League
|
78.5% | 9.5% |
|
Europa League
|
10.5% | 15% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
3% | 17.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
0.5% | 58% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
B. Dortmund
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
FCP
1 - 4
BVB
8%
15%
77%
|
96 | 58 | 38 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
BVB
2 - 0
ASV
69%
18%
13%
|
96 | 91 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2024 |
BVB
2 - 2
VIL
69%
17%
14%
|
96 | 90 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2024 |
CER
2 - 3
BVB
6%
14%
80%
|
96 | 81 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
BAN
4 - 0
BVB
5%
12%
84%
|
96 | 61 | 35 | 0 |
Matches
Eintracht Frankfurt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2024 |
EBT
1 - 4
EIN
11%
17%
72%
|
90 | 70 | 20 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
FSV
2 - 5
EIN
5%
12%
83%
|
90 | 51 | 39 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
LOU
0 - 4
EIN
16%
19%
65%
|
90 | 69 | 21 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
JUA
1 - 2
EIN
13%
18%
70%
|
90 | 68 | 22 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2024 |
FCA
0 - 11
EIN
1%
6%
93%
|
90 | 7 | 83 | 0 |