Champions League Last 16
Global 1-2
B. Dortmund vs Chelsea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.9%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.8%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.6%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
38.4%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
B. Dortmund
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
BRE
0 - 2
BVB
12%
18%
70%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2023 |
RTV
1 - 2
BVB
10%
16%
74%
|
89 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
BVB
5 - 1
SCF
57%
21%
22%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
LEV
0 - 2
BVB
28%
23%
49%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2023 |
M05
1 - 2
BVB
15%
19%
66%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
WHU
1 - 1
CHL
27%
26%
48%
|
92 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2023 |
CHL
0 - 0
FUL
69%
20%
12%
|
92 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
LIV
0 - 0
CHL
60%
22%
19%
|
92 | 95 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
CHL
1 - 0
CRY
67%
21%
13%
|
92 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2023 |
FUL
2 - 1
CHL
19%
23%
58%
|
92 | 84 | 8 | 0 |