B. Dortmund vs B. Mönchengladbach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.8%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
19.8%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
B. Dortmund
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2007 |
HSV
3 - 0
BVB
43%
27%
31%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2007 |
BVB
0 - 1
STU
37%
27%
36%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2007 |
M05
1 - 0
BVB
34%
27%
40%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2007 |
BVB
3 - 2
BYM
21%
25%
55%
|
84 | 91 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2006 |
BVB
1 - 2
LEV
36%
26%
38%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
B. Mönchengladbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2007 |
MON
0 - 0
AAA
40%
26%
34%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2007 |
ARB
0 - 2
MON
46%
27%
27%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2007 |
MON
0 - 0
FCN
33%
27%
41%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2007 |
COT
3 - 1
MON
41%
27%
32%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2006 |
RTV
2 - 0
MON
55%
23%
21%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | -1 |