B. Dortmund vs B. Mönchengladbach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.4%
Win probability
3.04
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.4%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7%
4-0
8%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.4%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.1%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.4%
11.3%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
11.3%
6.2%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
B. Dortmund
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 1966 |
KSC
0 - 0
BVB
31%
24%
45%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1966 |
BVB
3 - 1
TAS
91%
6%
3%
|
86 | 63 | 23 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1966 |
BVB
3 - 0
EIN
63%
19%
18%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1966 |
NEU
1 - 3
BVB
31%
22%
47%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 1966 |
BVB
1 - 1
EBT
76%
14%
10%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
B. Mönchengladbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 1966 |
MON
2 - 0
S04
41%
25%
35%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1966 |
MON
1 - 1
KSC
48%
24%
28%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1966 |
MON
0 - 1
BNE
69%
16%
15%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 1966 |
TAS
0 - 0
MON
51%
23%
26%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 1966 |
MON
4 - 1
NEU
46%
25%
30%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | +1 |