B. Dortmund vs Bayern München analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
2%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
11.4%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.6%
62.4%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
2.9%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
18.2%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
4.5%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
12%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6.4%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
63
4º
9º
5º
72
1º
3º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
90 | 90 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
73 | 73 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
72 | 72 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
65 | 65 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
63 | 63 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 47 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
46 | 46 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
42 | 42 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
42 | 42 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
39 | 39 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
37 | 37 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
35 | 35 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
34 | 34 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
33 | 33 |
15º
|
0% | |
|
16º
|
33 | 33 |
16º
|
0% | |
|
17º
|
27 | 27 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
17 | 17 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League
|
100% | 100% |
|
Europa League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
B. Dortmund
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2023 |
BVB
1 - 0
HOF
74%
15%
11%
|
92 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
EIN
3 - 3
BVB
20%
21%
59%
|
92 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2023 |
NEW
0 - 1
BVB
40%
24%
36%
|
92 | 93 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2023 |
BVB
1 - 0
BRE
78%
14%
8%
|
92 | 80 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
BVB
4 - 2
FCU
68%
19%
14%
|
92 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Bayern München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2023 |
SAA
2 - 1
BYM
1%
5%
95%
|
97 | 71 | 26 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
BYM
8 - 0
DAR
87%
9%
4%
|
97 | 79 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2023 |
GAL
1 - 3
BYM
4%
9%
87%
|
97 | 86 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
M05
1 - 3
BYM
5%
10%
86%
|
97 | 83 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
BYM
3 - 0
SCF
82%
12%
6%
|
96 | 87 | 9 | +1 |