B. Dortmund vs B. Leverkusen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.7%
Win probability
2.84
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.5%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.6%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.6%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.7%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.9%
13.5%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
6%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.5%
8.8%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.2%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
B. Dortmund
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 1983 |
KÖL
5 - 0
BVB
47%
24%
29%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1983 |
BVB
1 - 2
F95
74%
15%
11%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1983 |
BRE
4 - 2
BVB
52%
23%
25%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 1983 |
BVB
4 - 0
FCN
74%
15%
11%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 1983 |
BVB
3 - 1
RTV
74%
16%
10%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
B. Leverkusen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 1983 |
LEV
0 - 0
KAI
29%
26%
45%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1983 |
RTV
3 - 2
LEV
57%
23%
20%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 1983 |
LEV
2 - 1
HER
37%
27%
36%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 1983 |
STU
5 - 3
LEV
78%
14%
9%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 1983 |
LEV
3 - 2
MON
33%
27%
40%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | +1 |