B. Dortmund vs Arminia Bielefeld analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.7%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.3%
15%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
B. Dortmund
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 1982 |
LEV
1 - 2
BVB
32%
28%
41%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1982 |
BVB
4 - 3
KSC
72%
16%
12%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1982 |
ROT
0 - 1
BVB
16%
19%
65%
|
83 | 55 | 28 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1982 |
F95
2 - 3
BVB
47%
24%
29%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1982 |
BVB
0 - 0
BRE
58%
21%
21%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Arminia Bielefeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 1982 |
ARB
2 - 2
KAI
39%
25%
36%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1982 |
KOL
1 - 0
ARB
69%
18%
14%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1982 |
ARB
2 - 0
FCN
56%
21%
23%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1982 |
ARB
2 - 1
HER
47%
24%
30%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1982 |
STU
2 - 2
ARB
73%
16%
11%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |