B. Dortmund vs Arminia Bielefeld analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.4%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.1%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
18%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18%
10.6%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
B. Dortmund
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 1971 |
KAI
6 - 0
BVB
48%
24%
28%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1971 |
BVB
0 - 0
MON
28%
25%
47%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 1971 |
ROT
1 - 1
BVB
46%
24%
31%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 1971 |
BVB
2 - 2
EBT
56%
24%
20%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 1971 |
HER
2 - 1
BVB
67%
19%
15%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Arminia Bielefeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 1971 |
ARB
3 - 4
EIN
32%
27%
41%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1971 |
KOL
1 - 0
ARB
79%
14%
7%
|
67 | 85 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1971 |
ARB
2 - 2
HSV
27%
26%
47%
|
67 | 83 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1971 |
MSV
4 - 0
ARB
67%
21%
12%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 1971 |
ARB
1 - 0
HAN
40%
28%
32%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | +1 |