Europa League 1/32
Global 1-0
B. Dortmund vs Alaniya Vladikavkaz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.3%
Win probability
2.81
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.3%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.2%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.3%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.1%
14%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14%
9.6%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
B. Dortmund
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 1993 |
BVB
0 - 1
LOK
77%
15%
8%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1993 |
STU
2 - 2
BVB
53%
23%
24%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1993 |
BVB
4 - 0
SGD
62%
21%
18%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1993 |
LEV
2 - 1
BVB
49%
25%
26%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1993 |
BVB
0 - 1
CZJ
85%
10%
5%
|
84 | 64 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 1993 |
ALA
2 - 0
CSK
42%
24%
34%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1993 |
VLA
3 - 1
ALA
26%
27%
48%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 1993 |
OKN
3 - 0
ALA
29%
28%
43%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | -1 |
| 01 Aug. 1993 |
ALA
6 - 0
BES
87%
10%
3%
|
79 | 14 | 65 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 1993 |
TOR
2 - 0
ALA
51%
23%
26%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |