B. Dortmund vs 1860 München analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.5%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
23.3%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
B. Dortmund
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 1969 |
KAI
1 - 2
BVB
34%
25%
41%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1969 |
BVB
1 - 1
HAN
65%
20%
15%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1969 |
MON
1 - 0
BVB
59%
21%
21%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 1968 |
OFC
4 - 3
BVB
32%
24%
44%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1968 |
BVB
3 - 1
FCN
59%
22%
20%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
1860 München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 1969 |
EBT
1 - 0
MUN
46%
24%
30%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1969 |
MUN
4 - 3
BRE
56%
23%
22%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1969 |
BYM
0 - 2
MUN
62%
20%
18%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 1969 |
MUN
3 - 1
STU
57%
22%
21%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1968 |
MUN
0 - 1
EBT
63%
22%
16%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |