B. Dortmund vs 1860 München analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.5%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
5.4%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
18.9%
23.7%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
B. Dortmund
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 1963 |
BVB
4 - 2
SSF
88%
8%
5%
|
51 | 36 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1963 |
WUP
1 - 0
BVB
32%
24%
44%
|
52 | 36 | 16 | -1 |
| 01 May. 1963 |
BVB
4 - 1
F95
84%
10%
6%
|
52 | 39 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1963 |
BVB
1 - 0
S04
72%
15%
13%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 1963 |
BVB
0 - 1
MSV
84%
10%
6%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
1860 München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 1963 |
MUN
3 - 2
S04
73%
15%
12%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1963 |
BAY
0 - 2
MUN
40%
24%
37%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1963 |
MUN
2 - 4
FCN
42%
24%
34%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1963 |
VFR
2 - 2
MUN
51%
21%
28%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 1963 |
MUN
1 - 0
STU
76%
14%
10%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | +1 |