B. Dortmund vs Köln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.1%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.1%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
33.1%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
B. Dortmund
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 1985 |
SVS
1 - 3
BVB
15%
17%
68%
|
76 | 53 | 23 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1985 |
HSV
3 - 0
BVB
67%
18%
15%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 1985 |
S04
6 - 1
BVB
58%
21%
21%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1985 |
BVB
3 - 1
SAA
68%
18%
13%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1985 |
BVB
2 - 0
HAN
60%
20%
20%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 1985 |
KOL
1 - 1
KAI
62%
20%
18%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1985 |
KOL
3 - 1
HIF
66%
17%
16%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 1985 |
EIN
2 - 2
KOL
35%
25%
40%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1985 |
KOL
0 - 1
WAL
66%
19%
15%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 1985 |
RTV
2 - 0
KOL
40%
25%
36%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |