B. Dortmund vs Köln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.4%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.9%
26.7%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
B. Dortmund
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 1965 |
BRE
3 - 0
BVB
48%
23%
30%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1965 |
BVB
2 - 1
FCN
55%
20%
25%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 1965 |
BVB
4 - 2
FCN
57%
19%
24%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1965 |
BVB
2 - 0
HSV
47%
20%
33%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 1965 |
MSV
3 - 2
BVB
37%
25%
38%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 1965 |
KOL
0 - 0
FCN
58%
20%
22%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1965 |
HSV
0 - 0
KOL
52%
21%
27%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1965 |
KOL
2 - 1
S04
74%
15%
12%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1965 |
MUN
2 - 3
KOL
50%
22%
29%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1965 |
KOL
3 - 0
KAI
75%
14%
11%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | +1 |