B. Dortmund U19 vs Preußen Münster U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
89.3%
Win probability
3.32
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1%
7-0
1.9%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.4%
6-0
4%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.1%
+6
5.1%
5-0
7.3%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.6%
4-0
11%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
15.3%
3-0
13.2%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.9%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.3%
7.7%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
3.7%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
7.7%
2.9%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
2.4%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
1º
2º
1º
15
2º
5º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
35 | 38 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
32 | 32 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
32 | 32 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
15 | 16 |
4º
|
52.5% | |
|
5º
|
13 | 14 |
5º
|
52.5% | |
|
6º
|
9 | 12 |
6º
|
89% | |
|
7º
|
8 | 8 |
7º
|
73.5% | |
|
8º
|
7 | 7 |
8º
|
73.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
B. Dortmund U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
MEP
1 - 6
BOR
12%
15%
74%
|
37 | 17 | 20 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
MER
0 - 3
BOR
7%
12%
81%
|
37 | 8 | 29 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2024 |
BOR
4 - 1
DUI
86%
10%
4%
|
37 | 19 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
SCH
1 - 3
BOR
16%
18%
66%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
BOR
5 - 0
ESS
89%
8%
3%
|
36 | 15 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Preußen Münster U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
PRE
1 - 4
DUI
34%
23%
43%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
ESS
2 - 3
PRE
54%
21%
25%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2024 |
PRE
2 - 4
SCH
19%
21%
61%
|
15 | 23 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
PRE
2 - 2
FOR
35%
23%
42%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
MER
1 - 4
PRE
18%
18%
64%
|
14 | 8 | 6 | +1 |