B. Dortmund U19 vs Preußen Münster U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
89.3%
Win probability
3.32
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1%
7-0
1.9%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.4%
6-0
4.1%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.1%
+6
5.1%
5-0
7.3%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.6%
4-0
11%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
15.3%
3-0
13.2%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.9%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.3%
7.7%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
3.7%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
7.7%
2.9%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
2.3%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
1º
2º
1º
7
2º
5º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
18 | 40 |
1º
|
95.5% | |
|
2º
|
12 | 31 |
2º
|
84% | |
|
3º
|
10 | 24 |
3º
|
48.5% | |
|
5º
|
6 | 19 |
4º
|
36% | |
|
|
4º
|
7 | 15 |
5º
|
29.5% | |
|
6º
|
6 | 14 |
6º
|
24% | |
|
8º
|
3 | 14 |
7º
|
24% | |
|
7º
|
3 | 7 |
8º
|
89% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
B. Dortmund U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
MEP
1 - 6
BOR
12%
15%
74%
|
36 | 15 | 21 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
MER
0 - 3
BOR
7%
12%
81%
|
35 | 7 | 28 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2024 |
BOR
4 - 1
DUI
86%
10%
4%
|
35 | 17 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
SCH
1 - 3
BOR
16%
18%
66%
|
35 | 23 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
BOR
5 - 0
ESS
89%
8%
3%
|
35 | 14 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Preußen Münster U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
PRE
1 - 4
DUI
34%
23%
43%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
ESS
2 - 3
PRE
54%
21%
25%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2024 |
PRE
2 - 4
SCH
19%
21%
61%
|
13 | 21 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
PRE
2 - 2
FOR
35%
23%
42%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
MER
1 - 4
PRE
18%
18%
64%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | 0 |