B. Dortmund Sub 19 vs MSV Duisburg Sub 19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.1%
Win probability
2.82
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
3%
5-0
5.1%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.6%
4-0
9.1%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.3%
3-0
13%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.7%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
11.2%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
11.2%
4.7%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
3.7%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
B. Dortmund Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2004 |
SGW
1 - 7
BOR
14%
19%
66%
|
42 | 21 | 21 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2004 |
BOR
0 - 0
MON
72%
16%
12%
|
42 | 27 | 15 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2004 |
KOL
0 - 0
BOR
51%
22%
27%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2004 |
BOR
3 - 1
RWA
85%
11%
4%
|
42 | 12 | 30 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2004 |
BOC
1 - 0
BOR
60%
20%
21%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
MSV Duisburg Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2004 |
DUI
3 - 7
BON
40%
24%
37%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2004 |
SGW
0 - 0
DUI
74%
16%
10%
|
14 | 23 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2004 |
DUI
1 - 2
MON
17%
20%
63%
|
14 | 26 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2004 |
KOL
1 - 1
DUI
85%
11%
4%
|
13 | 45 | 32 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2004 |
DUI
4 - 1
RWA
46%
24%
31%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | +1 |