B. Dortmund Sub 19 vs VfL Bochum Sub 19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.5%
Win probability
3.13
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.9%
6-0
3.4%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.3%
5-0
6.5%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.5%
4-0
10.3%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
14.3%
3-0
13.2%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.6%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.8%
8.9%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
4.2%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
8.9%
3.5%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
2.8%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-40%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
70
1º
4º
1º
29
7º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
70 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
53 | 53 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 48 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 38 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
28 | 28 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
19 | 19 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
10 | 10 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
B. Dortmund Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
KOL
1 - 1
BOR
12%
16%
72%
|
37 | 20 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
MON
0 - 1
BOR
14%
18%
68%
|
37 | 23 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
BOR
3 - 1
ARM
89%
8%
3%
|
37 | 13 | 24 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2024 |
SCH
1 - 2
BOR
23%
21%
56%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
VIK
1 - 4
BOR
9%
14%
77%
|
37 | 17 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
VfL Bochum Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
BOC
0 - 3
VIK
52%
21%
26%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
WUP
0 - 5
BOC
18%
21%
61%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
BOC
2 - 3
MON
24%
21%
55%
|
16 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
BOC
2 - 0
ARM
59%
20%
21%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
BOC
1 - 2
SCH
18%
21%
62%
|
16 | 29 | 13 | 0 |