B. Dortmund U17 vs Fortuna Köln U17 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
93.7%
Win probability
3.97
Expected goals
10-0
0.3%
+10
0.3%
9-0
0.8%
10-1
0.1%
+9
1%
8-0
1.8%
9-1
0.4%
10-2
<0%
+8
2.2%
7-0
3.7%
8-1
0.8%
9-2
0.1%
+7
4.6%
6-0
6.5%
7-1
1.7%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
8.4%
5-0
9.9%
6-1
2.9%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
13.2%
4-0
12.4%
5-1
4.5%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
17.6%
3-0
12.5%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.3%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.5%
4.5%
Draw
0-0
1.2%
1-1
2.2%
2-2
1%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
4.5%
1.4%
Win probability
0.45
Expected goals
0-1
0.5%
1-2
0.5%
2-3
0.1%
3-4
0%
-1
1.2%
0-2
0.1%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.2%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
1º
5º
5º
7
10º
15º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
41 | 41 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
35 | 35 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
34 | 34 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
32 | 32 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
29 | 29 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
28 | 28 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
27 | 27 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 21 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 19 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
17 | 17 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
15 | 15 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
15 | 15 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 13 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
9 | 9 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
7 | 7 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 0 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
B. Dortmund U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
FOD
1 - 4
BDO
9%
14%
78%
|
38 | 22 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
BDO
5 - 0
SSI
95%
4%
1%
|
38 | 9 | 29 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
BDO
3 - 3
COL
76%
14%
10%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
MSV
0 - 3
BDO
3%
9%
88%
|
38 | 12 | 26 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
BDO
5 - 1
VFB
84%
11%
6%
|
38 | 23 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Fortuna Köln U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
SFK
1 - 4
MSV
66%
18%
16%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
VFB
2 - 0
SFK
79%
13%
8%
|
14 | 22 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
SFK
3 - 1
SVD
81%
12%
7%
|
13 | 6 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
BLE
7 - 0
SFK
80%
12%
8%
|
14 | 20 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
SFK
1 - 1
FCH
67%
18%
15%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | 0 |