B. Dortmund II vs Preußen Lengerich analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.4%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.1%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.4%
10.2%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
B. Dortmund II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2001 |
WHE
1 - 0
BOR
25%
23%
52%
|
50 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2001 |
S04
1 - 3
BOR
40%
24%
36%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2001 |
BOR
1 - 0
HAS
79%
14%
7%
|
50 | 22 | 28 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2001 |
BOR
4 - 1
TSG
67%
20%
13%
|
49 | 36 | 13 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2001 |
STA
3 - 4
BOR
19%
24%
57%
|
49 | 32 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Preußen Lengerich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2001 |
SPL
1 - 2
FBI
59%
21%
20%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2001 |
HUL
5 - 0
SPL
78%
14%
9%
|
32 | 47 | 15 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2001 |
SPL
0 - 5
BOC
33%
23%
44%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | -2 |
| 22 Aug. 2001 |
SOI
1 - 1
SPL
42%
24%
34%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2001 |
SPL
0 - 1
LIP
55%
22%
23%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | -1 |