B. Dortmund II vs 1. FC Saarbrücken analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.7%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24.8%
56.5%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
14.2%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.9%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.5%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
1. FC Saarbrücken
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 1991 |
SAA
2 - 1
WAL
55%
26%
19%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 1991 |
WAL
1 - 3
SAA
53%
25%
22%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Jun. 1991 |
SAA
0 - 1
MSV
46%
27%
28%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1991 |
SCH
2 - 1
SAA
29%
29%
42%
|
76 | 48 | 28 | -1 |
| 25 May. 1991 |
SAA
0 - 0
HAV
74%
18%
8%
|
76 | 49 | 27 | 0 |