B. Dortmund II vs VfB Lübeck analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.9%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
33.4%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
B. Dortmund II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2007 |
ROT
3 - 1
BOR
31%
28%
41%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2007 |
MAG
0 - 2
BOR
47%
25%
28%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2007 |
BOR
1 - 0
VER
55%
24%
21%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2007 |
SGD
0 - 0
BOR
52%
25%
23%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2007 |
BOR
3 - 1
HAM
35%
27%
38%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
VfB Lübeck
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2007 |
LUB
2 - 1
BSV
38%
27%
35%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2007 |
LUB
0 - 2
RWA
45%
25%
30%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2007 |
F95
0 - 1
LUB
52%
25%
24%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2007 |
LUB
0 - 0
ROT
55%
24%
22%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2007 |
MAG
3 - 0
LUB
43%
26%
31%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | -1 |