B. Dortmund II vs Köln II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.1%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
20.1%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
B. Dortmund II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2003 |
DRE
1 - 0
BOR
25%
26%
50%
|
59 | 46 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2003 |
HOL
2 - 2
BOR
40%
25%
36%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2003 |
BOR
2 - 2
HAM
66%
20%
15%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2003 |
VER
1 - 2
BOR
35%
26%
39%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2003 |
BOR
1 - 1
ROT
42%
25%
33%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Köln II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2003 |
DIE
1 - 1
SGD
50%
26%
24%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2003 |
DIE
3 - 1
DRE
59%
23%
18%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2003 |
BAB
4 - 2
DIE
39%
26%
35%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2003 |
DIE
1 - 3
HOL
44%
25%
31%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2003 |
WER
1 - 2
DIE
57%
22%
20%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | +1 |